Stanislas Wawrinka – Christian Garin: prediction and rate of Vladimir Chaplygin
The final match of the second game day of the Austrian tournament attracted my attention with the match between Wawrinka and Garin. To be more precise, with quotes for aces. It seems to me that the Swiss tennis player is quite capable of taking a head start (-4.5).
Let’s turn to statistics. Stan played 5 matches on the closed hard this year. On average, he made 0.52 aces per game, and missed 0.43 from his rivals. Garin has played 4 matches on the same surface over the past year. On average, he performs 0.44 aces per game, and misses 1.07 from opponents. It turns out that in terms of serving, the Swiss has a small advantage, but in the game at the reception he clearly has a large margin.
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However, it is not entirely correct to analyze only 4-5 matches of each tennis player. Therefore, I studied the average values for the entire time of the players’ performance in the halls. I will not give all the numbers, I will just note that Wawrinka again has an advantage in her serve and a significant gap when playing at the reception. I think it is due to these components that he is able to provide a minus head start of at least five aces.
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